Post Selection Show

Looks like I just missed a team somewhere in the lock section, or I did my math wrong... either way I only got one slot in the field wrong. 64/65. Not bad for season one.

Florida surprisingly got a 10 seed, I didn't even think they were in. They took the spot of Illinois (not the exact seed, but I had Illinois in over them).

My placement of Utah State, UTEP, Louisville, GT, Wake Forest, Minnesota and Missouri were all rather accurate. I did not think CAL was going to be such a high seed. Underestimated the selection committee's liking of them.

Final NCAA Field Projection

Punched a ticket (30): Cornell, Old Dom, St Mary's, ETSU, Winthrop, Siena, Northern Iowa, Murray State, Wofford, North Texas, Butler, Robert Morris, Montana, Lehigh, Houston, Vermont, Morgan State, Sam Houston State, Ohio, Kansas, San Diego State, Washington, UC Santa Barbara, WVU, New Mexico State, Arkansas PB, Duke, Temple, Kentucky, OSU

Thats 30 bids gone right there, so there are 35 left.

Locks (26):

Villanova, Pitt, Nova, Georgetown, Marquette, Notre Dame, MSU, Purdue, Wisconsin, KState, Texas, Baylor, Oklahoma State, Texas A&M, Vandy, Tennessee, Richmond, Xavier, BYU, New Mexico, UNLV, Maryland, Clemson, Florida State, Wake Forest, Gonzaga

9 Bids left.

Watch Your Back Region:

------->98% Chance of getting in----------

1-Missouri (22-10 (10-7), RPI #44, SOS #47)

2-Louisville (20-12 (11-7), RPI #37, SOS #7)

3-Georgia Tech (22-11 (7-9), RPI #33, SOS #17)

------->50% Chance of getting in-----------

4-Utah State (27-6 (14-2), RPI #31, SOS #100)

5-Minnesota (21-13 (9-9), RPI #60, SOS #44)

6-Illinois (19-13 (10-8), RPI #74, SOS #35)

7-California (23-10 (15-6), RPI #20, SOS #14)

8-UTEP (26-7) (15-1), RPI #36, SOS #111)

9-??

-------------------------------------------

Virginia Tech (23-8 (10-6), RPI #59, SOS #128)

Florida (21-12 (9-7), RPI #56, SOS #33)

-------<5%>

Seton Hall (19-12 (9-9), RPI #61, SOS #31)

Rhode Island (23-9 (9-7), RPI #40, SOS #71)

Miss State (23-10 (9-7), RPI #69, SOS #103)

-------<1%>

Ole Miss (21-10 (9-7), RPI #54, SOS #97)

Dayton (19-12 (8-8), RPI #55, SOS #32)

Memphis (23-9 (13-3), RPI #53, SOS #85)

Arizona State (22-10 (12-6), RPI #63, SOS #79)

I'll post back after the Selection Show!

Bubble Team Analysis

Just a quick overview of the bubble teams in contention. Pending Miss State and Minnesota games today. The teams are listed in order.

Missouri-

For: Good OOC wins over Old Dom & Illinois. 4-7 vs Top 50.

Against:3 Sup 100 RPI Losses. Bad down the stretch.

Louisville-

For:Beat #1 seeded Syracuse twice. Great SOS and good RPI.

Against: Only 3-7 vs Top 50. Bad loss to Western Carolina.

Georgia Tech-

For: 5-6 vs Top 50. Good SOS and RPI.

Against: Only 10-9 in conference. 2 sub 100 losses.

Utah State-

For: 2-1 vs Top 50. OOC wins over BYU and Wichita State. Good RPI.

Against: Two sub 100 losses. Bad SOS.

UTEP-

For: 15-1 in conference. 26 wins. Good RPI.

Against: No Top 25 wins, both Top wins (2-1) are against UAB. Bad SOS. 2 sub 100 losses.

Illinois-

For: 5 Top 50 wins. 2 great OOC wins. Good SOS.

Against: 14 losses. Bad RPI. 4 sub 100 losses.

California-

For: Great RPI and SOS.

Against: 1-6 vs Top 50, no Top 25 wins. 6 losses in a bad Pac-10.

--------BUBBLE POPS------------------------

Virginia Tech-

For: 3-4 vs Top 50.

Against: Bad SOS, OK RPI. No Top 25 wins.

Florida-

For: Good OOC wins (FSU,MSU). Good SOS.

Against: 2 bad losses (1 sub 200). Finished weak. 3-8 vs Top 50.

Minnesota-

For: 5-6 vs Top 50 (3 Top 25 wins). Butler OOC win. Finished strong.

Against: 4 Sub 100 losses (1 sub 200). 3-7 in road games.

Seton Hall-

For: No bad losses. Good SOS. 4 Top 50 wins. OOC @Cornell.

Against: OK RPI.

Rhode Island-

For: Good RPI. OOC win over Oklahoma State.

Against: 2 Sub 100 losses, bad SOS. No Top 25 wins, 1-5 vs Top 50.

Miss State-

For: Old Dom OOC win. Finishing strong.

Against: 5 Sub 100 losses. Only 1 Top 50 SEC win. Bad SOS.

Selection Sunday Ahead!

A huge slate of bubble games just went down on Saturday. New Mexico State took the auto-bid out of the WAC from Utah State. Houston upset UTEP in C-USA and a lot more.

Only two out of the 4 games tomorrow really matter for bubble hopes:

Miss State vs Kentucky (SEC Championship, 1PM ABC) - Miss State is likely out with a loss. Must win for them to steal a bid.

Minnesota vs Ohio State (B10 Championship, 330PM CBS) - Minnesota is right around the bubble. A win would lock a bid up for them.

Both games could steal bids from other bubble teams such as Florida, Virginia Tech, Illinois and UTEP. Should be very interesting!

Within a short period of time after the Minnesota game I will post my final projections. Stay tuned!

Bubble Through Friday & Saturday Preview

Sorry for the late post! This update is through games as of 3PM ET. Houston stole a bid by beating UTEP. I put UTEP in the lock section. San Diego State moved up after a huge win over New Mexico last night. UNLV moved up to a lock with a win over BYU. UNLV and San Diego State will meet for the MWC championship.

7 Bids left.

Watch Your Back Region:

1-Louisville (20-12 (11-7), RPI #39, SOS #6)

2-Georgia Tech (21-11 (7-9), RPI #35, SOS #16)

3-San Diego State (24-8 (11-5), RPI #24, SOS #57)

Bubble IN:

4-Virginia Tech (23-8 (10-6), RPI #56, SOS #132)

5-Florida (21-12 (9-7), RPI #54, SOS #33)

6-Illinois (19-13 (10-8), RPI #69, SOS #49)

7-Washington (23-9 (11-7), RPI #46, SOS #69)

---------------------

Rhode Island (22-8 (9-7), RPI #38, SOS #88)

Seton Hall (19-12 (9-9), RPI #60, SOS #32)

Minnesota (20-12 (9-9), RPI #68, SOS #39)*

Ole Miss (21-10 (9-7), RPI #59, SOS #64)

Dayton (19-12 (8-8), RPI #53, SOS #31)

Memphis (23-9 (13-3), RPI #52, SOS #84)

UAB (23-7 (11-5), RPI #45, SOS #99)

Arizona State (22-10 (12-6), RPI #62, SOS #80)

Miss State (22-10 (9-7), RPI #63, SOS #106)

South Florida (20-12 (9-9), RPI #65, SOS #77)

Saturday's games:

Illinois vs Ohio State - In progress. Illinois is holding a small lead. A win would guarantee them a lock.

Rhode Island vs Temple - Rhode Island would probably lock up a bid with a loss. However they are down big.

Minnesota vs Purdue - Minnesota probably needs another win to get in.

Vanderbilt vs Miss State - Miss State is done with a loss.

NCState vs Georgia Tech - Interesting if NCState were to win. Especially since Miami is beating Duke.

Washington vs California - Washington is probably in, even if they lose.

Utah State vs New Mexico State - Bubble teams want Utah State to win the WAC here.

Bubble Through Thursday & Friday Preview

9 Bids left. I switched Marquette and Louisville for lock positions. Marquette locked a bid up with their win over Villanova. Louisville is still 2-6 vs the Top 50 with some bad losses. Notre Dame also locked up a bid with a win over Pittsburgh.

Watch Your Back Region:

1-Louisville (20-12 (11-7), RPI #39, SOS #5)

2-UNLV (24-7 (12-5), RPI #50, SOS #110)

3-Georgia Tech (20-11 (7-9), RPI #40, SOS #20)

Bubble IN:

4-Virginia Tech (23-7 (10-6), RPI #50, SOS #128)

5-Florida (21-11 (9-7), RPI #51, SOS #32)

6-San Diego State (23-8 (11-5), RPI #32, SOS #75)

7-Illinois (18-13 (10-8), RPI #73, SOS #49)

8-Washington (22-9 (11-7), RPI #49, SOS #64)

9-Ole Miss (21-9 (9-7), RPI #57, SOS #69)

---------------------

Rhode Island (21-8 (9-7), RPI #39, SOS #79)

Seton Hall (19-12 (9-9), RPI #58, SOS #30)

Dayton (19-11 (8-8), RPI #51, SOS #33)

Memphis (23-9 (13-3), RPI #55, SOS #84)

Minnesota (19-12 (9-9), RPI #74, SOS #39)

UAB (23-7 (11-5), RPI #40, SOS #89)

Arizona State (22-10 (12-6), RPI #61, SOS #78)

Miss State (21-10 (9-7), RPI #68, SOS #103)

South Florida (20-12 (9-9), RPI #65, SOS #77)

Dropped Out:

Connecticut (17-15 (7-11), RPI #54, SOS #3)

Friday's Games:

San Diego State vs New Mexico - San Diego State can drastically help their chances with a win.

Minnesota vs Michigan State - Minnesota needs a win here to have a realistic chance.

Tennessee vs Ole Miss - Would be a huge win for Ole Miss.

Illinois vs Wisconsin - Do or die for Illinois. Can't see them in with a loss.

Georgia Tech vs Maryland - GT helped their case with a win in the first round. A win here moves them to lock.

Miami vs Virginia Tech - Miami is playing well, VT can't afford a loss.

Rhode Island vs St Louis - St Louis has no shot with a loss, Rhode Island also needs a win badly.

Dayton vs Xavier - Dayton needs a win.

Florida vs Miss State - Big bubble game in the SEC. Miss State stays alive with a win, Florida needs a win as well.

Bubble Through Wednesday & Thursday Preview

10 Bids left. RPIs & SOS aren't including 3/10 games (will update tomorrow).

Watch Your Back Region:

1-UNLV (23-7 (11-5), RPI #47, SOS #118)

2-Marquette (20-10 (11-7), RPI #58, SOS #52)*

3-Notre Dame (22-10 (10-8), RPI #57, SOS #58)

Bubble IN:

4-Georgia Tech (19-11 (7-9), RPI #44, SOS #18)

5-Virginia Tech (23-7 (10-6), RPI #50, SOS #128)

6-Florida (20-11 (9-7), RPI #56, SOS #46)

7-San Diego State (22-8 (11-5), RPI #33, SOS #72)

8-Memphis (23-8 (13-3), RPI #46, SOS #63)

9-Illinois (18-13 (10-8), RPI #73, SOS #49)

10-Washington (21-9 (11-7), RPI #50, SOS #67)

---------------------

Ole Miss (21-9 (9-7), RPI #55, SOS #85)

Rhode Island (21-8 (9-7), RPI #39, SOS #79)

Arizona State (22-9 (12-6), RPI #52, SOS #81)

Dayton (19-11 (8-8), RPI #51, SOS #33)

Seton hall (19-12 (9-9), RPI #53, SOS #28)

UAB (23-7 (11-5), RPI #40, SOS #89)

Minnesota (18-12 (9-9), RPI #75, SOS #39)

Dropped Out:

Miss State (21-10 (9-6), RPI #68, SOS #106)

South Florida (20-12 (9-9), RPI #65, SOS #77)

Connecticut (17-15 (7-11), RPI #54, SOS #3)

Thursday's Games - All bold teams are in must win situations:

Penn State vs Minnesota - Minnesota is looking for the 3 game sweep of PSU. Must win.

Notre Dame vs Pittsburgh - Notre Dame is looking to lock up a bid.

Memphis vs Houston

Utah State vs Boise State

UAB vs Southern Miss

San Diego State vs Colorado State

UNC vs Georgia Tech - Georgia Tech would really test the bubble with a loss.

Florida vs Auburn

Oregon State vs Washington

Arizona State vs Stanford

Monday & Tuesday Recap... Wednesday Preview

Old Dominion satisfied bubble team fans by winning their conference, but St Mary's on the other hand might have disappointed some. They didn't "steal" a bid, in the sense that they were clearly OUT, but they made sure they wouldn't be left out this year. I had Mary's IN before the game by a few teams so it wasn't TOO devastating for bubble teams.

Every bubble team except UConn cleaned up on Tuesday so a new bubble update isn't really necessary yet. Seton hall was up by 29 early in the second half against Providence and nearly lost... the Cardiac Kids!

Wednesday:

South Florida vs Georgetown (12PM ESPN) - First game of the BET on Wednesday. South Florida is looking to beat the Hoyas again and get closer to the bubble. They would probably need another win after this, though.

St Johns vs Marquette (2PM ESPN) - Not really a bubble game for Marquette unless they lose very badly.

Seton Hall vs Notre Dame (7PM ESPN) - A huge bubble game, more-so for Seton Hall. ND is on the better side of the bubble and Seton Hall could be in with a win. Seton Hall won in Newark the only time these two teams faced this season.

I'll be updating the bubble picture and games to watch daily from here on out... Stay tuned!

Bubble Games to Watch (3/8-3/9)

Monday has the potential of two teams (both the Marys) to steal bids from bubble teams. Tuesday has a bunch of elimination games for bubble teams. The bubble team you should root against will be in bold. Wright State is playing Butler for the Horizon League title as well, you should root for Butler so that Wright State doesn't steal a bid like they did a few seasons ago.

Monday:

St Mary's vs #14 Gonzaga (930PM ESPN) - Bubble team fans should obviously root for Gonzaga. St Mary's is a pure bubble team with a loss and Gonzaga is a lock with a loss.

William & Mary vs Old Dominion (7PM ESPN) - Root for Old Dominion if you're a fan of a team on the bubble.. they are probably a lock if they lose.

Tuesday:

Depaul vs South Florida (Noon ESPN2)

SJU vs UConn (2PM ESPN2)

Providence vs Seton Hall (7PM ESPNU)

St Joes vs Rhode Island (7PM)

George Washington vs Dayton (7PM)

Wright State vs Butler (9PM ESPN)

My bubble update as well as games to watch will be updated Tuesday night/Wednesday morning.

Who's IN, and who's OUT? #7

Louisville earned itself an NCAA bid with a win over #1 Cuse in the final game at Freedom Hall. Wake Forest also locked up a bid. All of the Auto-Bids that are locked up and not just current league leaders will be in bold. (So far there are 5).

Rhode Island and UConn dropped out of my field of 65 and were replaced by Memphis and Washington.

Auto-bids, non 1 bid leagues (Current conference leaders) 13 Bids: A10-Temple, ACC-Duke, B12-Kansas, BE-Syracuse, B10-OSU, CAA-Old Dom, CUSA-UTEP, Horizon-Butler, MVC-Northern Iowa, MWC-New Mexico, P10-California, SEC-Kentucky, WCC-Gonzaga

Auto-bids, 1 bid leagues (Current conference leaders) 18 bids: America East (Vermont); Atlantic Sun (ETSU); Big Sky (Weber State); Big South (Winthrop); Big West (UC Santa Barbara); Ivy (Cornell); MAC (Kent State); MAAC (Siena); MEAC (Morgan State); Northeast (Robert Morris); Ohio Valley (Murray State); Patriot (Lehigh); Southern (Charleston); Southland (Sam Houston State); Summit (Oakland); Sun Belt (North Texas); SWAC (Jackson State); WAC (Utah State)

Thats 31 bids gone right there, so there are 34 left.

Locks (20):

Villanova, WVU, Pitt, Georgetown,Louisville, MSU, Purdue, Wisconsin, KState, Texas, Baylor,Oklahoma State, Missouri, Texas A&M, Vandy, Tennessee, Richmond, Xavier, BYU, Maryland, Clemson, Florida State, Wake Forest

11 Bids left.

Watch Your Back Region:

1-UNLV (23-7 (11-5), RPI #47, SOS #118)

2-Marquette (20-10 (11-7), RPI #58, SOS #52)

Bubble IN:

3-Georgia Tech (19-11 (7-9), RPI #44, SOS #18)

4-Notre Dame (21-10 (10-8), RPI #57, SOS #58)

5-Virginia Tech (23-7 (10-6), RPI #50, SOS #128)

6-Florida (20-11 (9-7), RPI #56, SOS #46)

7-San Diego State (22-8 (11-5), RPI #33, SOS #72)

8-St. Mary's (25-5 (11-3), RPI #45, SOS #145)

9-Memphis (23-8 (13-3), RPI #46, SOS #63)

10-Illinois (18-13 (10-8), RPI #73, SOS #49)

11-Washington (21-9 (11-7), RPI #50, SOS #67)

---------------------

Ole Miss (21-9 (9-7), RPI #55, SOS #85)

Rhode Island (21-8 (9-7), RPI #39, SOS #79)

Seton Hall (18-11 (9-9), RPI #53, SOS #28)

Arizona State (22-9 (12-6), RPI #52, SOS #81)

Dayton (19-11 (8-8), RPI #51, SOS #33)

Connecticut (17-14 (7-11), RPI #54, SOS #3)

UAB (23-7 (11-5), RPI #40, SOS #89)

South Florida (19-11 (9-9), RPI #65, SOS #77)

Minnesota (18-12 (9-9), RPI #75, SOS #39)

Dropped Out:

Cincinnati - Drop off the bubble with a blowout loss against Gtown.

Miss State - Loss to Tennessee. Need to make the finals to be on the fence.

New team(s):

South Florida

Weekend Preview

Mid-major teams for bubble teams to follow:

Butler - LOCK even if they lose.

Northern Iowa - Relatively safe if they lose. Beat Drake in their first game.

Gonzaga/St Mary's - Gonzaga is a lock if they lose, St Mary's is likely OUT if they do (depending on opponent).

Old Dominion - Similar case to Northern Iowa.

Saturday:

Seton Hall @ Providence - Must win game for Seton Hall.

#1 Syracuse @ Louisville - Louisville can lock up a bid with a win, a loss and they still have to sweat it out.

#13 Tennessee @ Miss State - Miss State is done with a loss.

Cincinnati @ #20 Georgetown - Cincinnati is done with a loss.

UAB @ #21 UTEP - UAB has been relatively safe all year. Another loss and they are in serious trouble.

Tulsa @ Memphis - Memphis needs more wins.

UConn @ USF - UConn has an unusual resume. They can't afford more losses.

Notre Dame @ Marquette - Huge BE bubble game. Can ND keep playing out of their minds?

Ole Miss @ Arkansas - Must win for Ole Miss.

Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech - Big bubble game in the ACC. Both teams need wins.

Rhode Island @ UMass - Must win for Rhodie.

Wyoming @ UNLV - Ditto for UNLV.

UCLA @ Arizona State - Arizona State can't afford any more losses, they are on thin ice.

California @ Stanford - If CAL was to lose in the P10 tournament, they need as many wins as they can get.

St Louis @ Dayton - St Louis was a nice story for awhile, but I doubt Dayton cares. They are in murky water right now.

Washington @ Oregon State - Must win for the Huskies.

San Diego State @ Air Force - Ditto for San Diego State.

Sunday:

Florida @ #3 Kentucky - Huge game for Florida. They are on a small slide, a win @Kentucky would do wonders.

#17 Wisconsin @ Illinois - Illinois really likes to test the bubble. They can't keep racking up losses.

Clemson @ Wake Forest - Clemson is pretty much a lock, something Wake Forest once was. They are in a huge slump.

Who's IN, and who's OUT? #6

Clemson and Florida State from the ACC have been moved to the LOCK section. Charlotte dropped out of the running with yet another loss, this time to Rhode Island. Notre Dame and Rhode Island are now IN my field. They took the spots of UAB (loss to Memphis) and Ole Miss (bumped out).

I had forgotten to update my 1 big league pool... Old Dominion and Utah State were moved out of that section since they are both right around the bubble if they don't win their conference tournaments.

Auto-bids, non 1 bid leagues (Current conference leaders) 14 Bids: A10-Temple, ACC-Duke, B12-Kansas, BE-Syracuse, B10-MSU, CAA-Old Dom, CUSA-UTEP, Horizon-Butler,MVC-Northern Iowa, MWC-New Mexico, P10-California, SEC-Kentucky, WAC- Utah State, WCC-Gonzaga

Auto-bids, 1 bid leagues (Current conference leaders) 17 bids: America East (Stony Brook); Atlantic Sun (Jacksonville); Big Sky (Weber State); Big South (Coastal Carolina); Big West (UC Santa Barbara); Ivy (Cornell); MAC (Kent State); MAAC (Siena); MEAC (Morgan State); Northeast (Robert Morris); Ohio Valley (Murray State); Patriot (Lehigh); Southern (Charleston); Southland (Sam Houston State); Summit (Oakland); Sun Belt (North Texas); SWAC (Jackson State);

Thats 31 bids gone right there, so there are 34 left.

Locks (19):

Villanova, WVU, Pitt, Georgetown, OSU, Purdue, Wisconsin, KState, Texas, Baylor, Oklahoma State, Missouri, Texas A&M, Vandy, Tennessee, Richmond, Xavier, BYU, Maryland, Clemson, Florida State

13 Bids left.

Watch Your Back Region:

1-UNLV (21-7 (10-5), RPI #44, SOS #90)

2-Louisville (19-11 (10-7), RPI #37, SOS #7)

3-Wake Forest (18-9 (8-7), RPI #34, SOS #32)

Bubble IN:

4-Marquette (20-9 (11-6), RPI #48, SOS #53)

5-Georgia Tech (18-10 (7-8), RPI #34, SOS #21)

6-Illinois (18-11 (10-6), RPI #71, SOS #47)

7-Virginia Tech (22-7 (9-6), RPI #55, SOS #132)

8-Notre Dame (20-10 (9-8), RPI #65, SOS #55)

9-Florida (20-10 (9-6), RPI #52, SOS #36)

10-Connecticut (17-13 (7-10), RPI #49, SOS #2)

11-San Diego State (19-8 (9-5), RPI #31, SOS #58)

12-Rhode Island (21-7 (9-6), RPI #30, SOS #63)

13-St. Mary's (23-5 (11-3), RPI #45, SOS #143)

---------------------

Ole Miss (20-9 (9-7), RPI #57, SOS #69)

UAB (23-6 (11-4), RPI #41, SOS #101)

Memphis (22-8 (12-3), RPI #50, SOS #85)

Dayton (19-10 (8-7), RPI #42, SOS #34)

Washington (20-9 (10-7), RPI #53, SOS #60)

Seton Hall (17-11 (8-9), RPI #56, SOS #25)

Arizona State (21-9 (11-6), RPI #54, SOS #70)

Cincinnati (16-13 (7-10), RPI #63, SOS #12)

Minnesota (17-11 (8-8), RPI #76, SOS #43)

Miss State (21-9 (9-6), RPI #61, SOS #113)

Dropped Out:

Charlotte

New team(s):

None

I'm now on Twitter!

I have gone to the dark side... There is a link on the right hand side of this blog or you can click here: http://twitter.com/The_Bracket_Man

Thanks!

Who's IN, and who's OUT? #5 & Games to Watch

Three teams have moved into the lock section: Maryland, Texas A&M and Missouri. That means the overall at-large bid pool is now at 15, 12 of which are labeled as "bubble positions".

Minnesota has re-appeared on the bubble after beating Illinois and South Florida has dropped out. Rhode Island dropped from bubble IN and was replaced by San Diego State.

Auto-bids, non 1 bid leagues (Current conference leaders) 12 Bids: A10-Temple, ACC-Duke, B12-Kansas, BE-Syracuse, B10-MSU, CUSA-UTEP, Horizon-Butler,MVC-Northern Iowa, MWC-New Mexico, P10-California, SEC-Kentucky, WCC-Gonzaga

Auto-bids, 1 bid leagues (Current conference leaders) 19 bids: America East (Stony Brook); Atlantic Sun (Jacksonville); Big Sky (Weber State); Big South (Coastal Carolina); Big West (UC Santa Barbara); Colonial Athletic (Old Dominion); Ivy (Cornell); MAC (Kent State); MAAC (Siena); MEAC (Morgan State); Northeast (Robert Morris); Ohio Valley (Murray State); Patriot (Lehigh); Southern (Charleston); Southland (Sam Houston State); Summit (Oakland); Sun Belt (North Texas); SWAC (Jackson State); WAC (Utah State)

Thats 31 bids gone right there, so there are 34 left.

Locks (19):
Villanova, WVU, Pitt, Georgetown, OSU, Purdue, Wisconsin, KState, Texas, Baylor,Oklahoma State, Missouri, Texas A&M, Vandy, Tennessee, Richmond, Xavier, BYU, Maryland

15 Bids left.

Watch Your Back Region:
1-Wake Forest (18-8 (8-6), RPI #29, SOS #34)
2-Georgia Tech (19-9 (7-7), RPI #33, SOS #20)
3-UNLV (22-7 (10-5), RPI #43, SOS #96)

Bubble IN:
4-Louisville (19-10 (10-6), RPI #32, SOS #5)
5-Clemson (20-8 (8-6), RPI #27, SOS #30)
6-UAB (23-5 (11-3), RPI #35, SOS #111)
7-Florida State (20-8 (8-6), RPI #42, SOS #50)
8-Florida (20-9 (9-5), RPI #48, SOS #59)
9-Marquette (19-9 (10-6), RPI #49, SOS #67)
10-Illinois (18-11 (10-6), RPI #73, SOS #64)
11-Connecticut (17-12 (7-9), RPI #44, SOS #2)
12-Ole Miss (18-9 (7-7), RPI #55, SOS #65)
13-Virginia Tech (21-7 (8-6), RPI #52, SOS #156)
14-San Diego State (20-8 (9-5), RPI #39, SOS #56)
15-St. Mary's (24-5 (11-3), RPI #45, SOS #142)
---------------------
Rhode Island (20-7 (8-6), RPI #37, SOS #68)
Dayton (19-9 (8-6), RPI #41, SOS #37)
Miss State (21-8 (9-5), RPI #56, SOS #128)
Notre Dame (19-10 (8-8), RPI #68, SOS #53)
Minnesota (17-11 (8-8), RPI #70, SOS #38)
Arizona State (20-9 (10-6), RPI #54, SOS #74)
Charlotte (19-9 (9-5), RPI #62, SOS #116)
Washington (19-9 (9-7), RPI #53, SOS #58)
Memphis (21-8 (11-3), RPI #64, SOS #98)
Cincinnati (16-12 (7-9), RPI #58, SOS #17)
Seton Hall (16-11 (7-9), RPI #63, SOS #16)

Dropped Out:
South Florida

New team(s):
Minnesota

No games on Monday.

Tuesday's games:

#9 Villanova @ Cincinnati (7PM ESPN2) - Cincinnati is on the ropes. They are eliminated with a loss.

#19 Vanderbilt @ Florida (7PM ESPN) -

Minnesota @ Michigan (7PM BTN) - Minnesota is back on the bubble after a win against the Illini, but they must win this game to stay on it.

Georgia Tech @ Clemson (8PM ESPN360) -

Louisville @ Marquette (930 ESPNU) -

Wednesday:

Memphis @ UAB (7PM) - Huge games for both teams, more so for Memphis - they are likely done with a loss.

Wake Forest @ Florida State (7PM ESPN2) - Wake Forest is really slipping, they can be lock city with a few more wins.

UConn @ Notre Dame (7PM ESPN) - Huge game for both teams. UConn has a hair more leeway than ND.

Charlotte @ Rhode Island (7PM) - Big bubble game in the A10. The loser is almost eliminated since both teams are OUT right now.

NC State @ Virginia Tech (7PM) - VT can't afford a loss here.

Miss State @ Auburn (8PM ESPN360) - Ditto for Miss State.

Colorado State @ San Diego State (1030PM) - The Aztecs are only barely in the field of 65. They can't afford anymore losses with their weak schedule.

Thursday:

Seton Hall @ Rutgers (7PM ESPN) - SHU is in the same boat as Cincinnati. 1 more loss and they are eliminated.

Dayton @ Richmond (7PM) - Richmond has wrapped up a bid, Dayton is on the outside looking in.

USC @ Arizona State (830PM) - Arizona suffered a devastating loss to CAL last week, another loss and they are done.

LSU @ Ole Miss (9PM ESPN) - Ole Miss cannot lose this game to bottom feeding LSU.

Washington @ Oregon (10PM) - Must win for the Huskies.

Next update: 3/5